Severe Weather Still Likely On Monday, But Magnitude May Be Tempered

The latest models have trended more toward the recent runs of the ECMWF in terms of the system evolution and timing.  It now appears that the cold front will move through earlier on Monday.  The potential for a high end severe weather event looks to be lessening but I still see a severe weather threat across much of the state with damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes possible.  Assuming there are no major changes in the next day or two, I would not be surprised to see the SPC issue a Moderate Risk in or near the state.